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Girona away CL Tuesday 545 pm

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    Arsenal and Monaco play each other tonight so one of those will be out of the running. Barcelona and Dortmund also play a win for one of them means the other would need better GD to catch us
    The only gracious way to accept an insult is to ignore it; if you can't ignore it, top it; if you can't top it, laugh at it; if you can't laugh at it, it's probably deserved.

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      Originally posted by Exiled_red View Post
      Arsenal and Monaco play each other tonight so one of those will be out of the running. Barcelona and Dortmund also play a win for one of them means the other would need better GD to catch us
      Mid-table clash!
      "We oil the jaws of the war machine and feed it with our babies."

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        Man City - PSG will be interesting based on their current standings

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          -15 goal difference from 6 games is wild. Salzburg are embarrassing themselves.
          Trey Nyoni: countdown to stardom- 2 years 1year 0.5 years

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            The maximum number of points each team can get doesn't tell the whole story. For example, in order for Atletico to get more points (or GD) than us they would have to beat Leverkuson. Which means that Leverkuson then can't overtake us.

            From an eyeball check, there are 14 teams including us, as of now, that can finish top 8 mathematically by knocking us out. But with the fixtures as they are, only 12 can actually manage that logically. If the results go our way tonight that will whittle down even further, potentially to 8 teams which means we can lose the last two without a worry.

            Edit: ironically tonight we don't want Barca v Dortmund to be a draw as it keeps both teams on target to overtake us. A win either way is preferable. Conversely, we would like an Arsenal v Monaco draw that would rule both teams out. If these results happen, we immediately eliminate 3 of the 12 teams leaving only 9 teams that can finish top 8 while knocking us out.
            Last edited by BigChief; 11-12-24, 12:58 PM.
            One tit for another.

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              There are 13 teams that could according to that go through at our expense, by tonight that will be a max of 12 (one of Arsenal or Monaco won't be able to catch us after tonight, a draw means neither could), but 4 other teams play tonight and have to win to be able to move above us (Lille, Benfica Atletico, and AC Milan). If all those results go our way we could be through tonight.

              One other thing to look out for: a draw in the Barcelona-Dortmund match would mean another win would seal top spot for us.
              The only gracious way to accept an insult is to ignore it; if you can't ignore it, top it; if you can't top it, laugh at it; if you can't laugh at it, it's probably deserved.

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                You don't need to worry, we're not getting beat by lille and PSV. The latter is likely to be a dead rubber.

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                  Originally posted by Exiled_red View Post
                  There are 13 teams that could according to that go through at our expense, by tonight that will be a max of 12 (one of Arsenal or Monaco won't be able to catch us after tonight, a draw means neither could), but 4 other teams play tonight and have to win to be able to move above us (Lille, Benfica Atletico, and AC Milan). If all those results go our way we could be through tonight.

                  One other thing to look out for: a draw in the Barcelona-Dortmund match would mean another win would seal top spot for us.
                  A much clearer assessment. Thanks. Didn't realise about guaranteeing top spot. Could be a poisoned chalice finishing top for the next round (Real, Atletico, City lurking in the deep).
                  One tit for another.

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                    Originally posted by labourRed View Post
                    You don't need to worry, we're not getting beat by lille and PSV. The latter is likely to be a dead rubber.
                    Not for PSV though as they will want the max value of funds for a win as every little bit counts in that tin pot Dutch league.
                    Nope, don't need anger management, you just need to stop pissing me off!

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                      Originally posted by Angryred View Post
                      Not for PSV though as they will want the max value of funds for a win as every little bit counts in that tin pot Dutch league.
                      That's a rather good point.

                      FWIW, i don't think we'll rest too much either and finish unbeaten.

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                        Atletico look like they'll win it now. But Sturm just levelled again with Lille. Come on!
                        One tit for another.

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                          We've broke that league, if it weren't for us 3 points would cover the top half of the league.

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                            Bastid Lille just squeezed a win. Over to you Arsenal, Monaco, Benfica, dortmund.
                            One tit for another.

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                              [ame="https://twitter.com/FootRankings/status/1866806887829721501"]https://twitter.com/FootRankings/status/1866806887829721501[/ame]

                              Interesting look at the chances of getting through with various points totals
                              The only gracious way to accept an insult is to ignore it; if you can't ignore it, top it; if you can't top it, laugh at it; if you can't laugh at it, it's probably deserved.

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                                Originally posted by Exiled_red View Post
                                https://twitter.com/FootRankings/sta...06887829721501

                                Interesting look at the chances of getting through with various points totals
                                After this mornings matches you can add 3 points for Atletico, Lille, AC Milan, Arsenal, Barcelona, Feyenord, Juventus & Stuttgart then 1 each for Benfica & Bologna.
                                Me, I’m either planning a holiday or I’m on one.

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