"Those aren't pillows..." Travellers in the 1980s, in a motel somewhere off a US Highway
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Rob Dawson @RobDawsonMEN
Manuel Pellegrini confirms Sergio Aguero will be fit to face Liverpool next weekend http://bit.ly/1fFzkgOThanks very much for being ‘This Mornings’ Farmer’
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Surely the less games you have to play in a winning streak, the more probability of completing that winning streak?
Compare the odds of winning 14 in a row with winning 6. So if we get down to the last game and on a 13 game streak then the odds are (vastly simplified) 50/50.Was muß, das muß.
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Originally posted by kev776 View Post"where the **** did that iceberg come from" Captain of the TitanicOriginally posted by fah-q View PostI yam what I yam - PopeyeOriginally posted by Pablo1981 View Post"Yes, of course you can stick your finger up my back passage." - Slinky Skills.Originally posted by PTP View Post"the sherriff's a n***er" - Ghandi 1787

Sack swinging like Dub-D40 on a door hinge
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I remember Lucas emasculating both Yaya and Silva in the same game, on his own. ****ing epic.Originally posted by Liverpool View PostDzeko is lazy, Negredo is terrible despite his purple patch and Jovetic hasnt had enough game time. Its the midfield that we need to worry about.
Remember Lucas marking Silva a few years ago
Thanks very much for being ‘This Mornings’ Farmer’
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Grab a Horlick and some Werther's Orignals:Originally posted by foresterbloke View PostSurely the less games you have to play in a winning streak, the more probability of completing that winning streak?
Compare the odds of winning 14 in a row with winning 6. So if we get down to the last game and on a 13 game streak then the odds are (vastly simplified) 50/50.
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Regardless of the reasons, though, it seems that there is no such thing as "momentum" in sport. If your chosen team or player is going through a dry patch, take heart from the fact that they're just as likely to win, even in their darkest time, as they are when on a nine-game winning streak. Remember it also, when the pundit on Match of the Day, after confidently predicting a sixth win on the bounce for Manchester City and watching them lose unexpectedly to Swansea City, says "Well, they were due a defeat". No, they weren't. It's a weighted random number generator, the throw of a loaded dice: sometimes it'll come up six, sometimes it won't. Don't try to build any more of a narrative around it than that.
Article: The Myth of the Winning Streakl.Last edited by Muddled; 04-04-14, 01:58 PM.
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