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Title "Stroll" 2019-2020

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    Originally posted by Buzzo View Post
    It is far from over obviously.... but

    City currently need us to lose 5 games. They would also need to win all of their final 22 games to win the league (or us to lose even more than 5 of the remaining games).

    That’s us losing 5 games out of 22. Or one in every 4.5. It does feel unlikely with our current squad and form.

    Leicester ‘only’ need us to lose 3 games, ( with them also need to win all three of their games). That’s us losing 1 out of every 7.3 games. This stat keeps us honest. But.

    If we beat Watford then Leicester draw or lose to City we would be 11 points ahead of both (or 13 ahead of City and 9 from Leicester if they draw) with them having 20 games and us 21 to play.

    This scenario requires them going on massive winning sprees and out form flatlining (or losing a game every 4).

    So of course it’s not over (not even close) but we are in a ****ing amazing position, and if we are still 10 points clear in early Jan then.... we’ll, you know
    Aren't we already 14pts ahead of City? I think that gap would become 16pts not 13pts

    Comment


      Originally posted by Fredo View Post
      We don't need to 'lose' games but not getting maximum points while other teams are doing so.
      But if we draw rather than lose it increases the number of games that we have to drop points in.
      Football without Origi is nothing

      Comment


        Originally posted by Norbs View Post
        Aren't we already 14pts ahead of City? I think that gap would become 16pts not 13pts
        We have a game in hand against West Ham that's been moved from that week to Feb. So 13 with us playing one less game, I think

        Comment


          Originally posted by Fredo View Post
          We don't need to 'lose' games but not getting maximum points while other teams are doing so.
          I’m just trying to give an indocation of the size of the swing required. Drawing means the deficit is clawed back even more slowly.
          Modifying post.

          Comment


            Let's just win all the games.

            Comment


              Originally posted by Sus View Post
              We have a game in hand against West Ham that's been moved from that week to Feb. So 13 with us playing one less game, I think
              Ah cool. Which games is it being assumed that City and Leicester win to close that gap then

              Comment


                Originally posted by Norbs View Post
                Ah cool. Which games is it being assumed that City and Leicester win to close that gap then
                Assume they both thin this weekend and we do also.

                Then they play each other. Ideally City win or draw.

                So we extend the gap without playing. Then we play Leicester and at least need to avoid defeat.
                Modifying post.

                Comment


                  God, some of you lot are can find a negative in anything.

                  Were smashing it and were the best team in the country by a ****ing mile. League will be sown up by Easter.
                  *Except Michael, who died.

                  Comment


                    Originally posted by Alex View Post
                    God, some of you lot are can find a negative in anything.

                    Were smashing it and were the best team in the country by a ****ing mile. League will be sown up by Easter.
                    Do apostrophe's still matter?
                    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-50692797
                    Another MASSIVE game

                    Comment


                      I love it when people pick on grammar
                      *Except Michael, who died.

                      Comment


                        Originally posted by Alex View Post
                        I love it when people pick on grammar
                        Only pulling you're leg Alex

                        I posted it for two reason:
                        1. I had just been reading the article
                        2. I was trying to be funny (and failed )
                        Another MASSIVE game

                        Comment


                          Its ok mate, I used to get it all the time on this forum years ago and it really used to annoy me. As I was having a bit of fun and then that sort of thing shut it down. (Back then)

                          Just bought back some memories. Bit of forum PTSD

                          I know people dont mean anything by it, im just being over sensitive

                          *Except Michael, who died.

                          Comment


                            Originally posted by Alex View Post
                            Its ok mate, I used to get it all the time on this forum years ago and it really used to annoy me. As I was having a bit of fun and then that sort of thing shut it down.

                            Just bought back some memories. Bit of forum PTSD

                            I know people dont mean anything by it, im just being sensitive
                            No worries. For the record, my spelling and grammar is poor and I have no confidence in my writing (e.g. I avoid writing on whiteboards in work/workshops out of genuine fear).
                            Another MASSIVE game

                            Comment


                              Originally posted by Alex View Post
                              I love it when people pick on grammar
                              Easy target, weak, frail, aged.
                              One tit for another.

                              Comment


                                Originally posted by Buzzo View Post
                                It is far from over obviously.... but

                                City currently need us to lose 5 games. They would also need to win all of their final 22 games to win the league (or us to lose even more than 5 of the remaining games).

                                That’s us losing 5 games out of 22. Or one in every 4.5. It does feel unlikely with our current squad and form.

                                Leicester ‘only’ need us to lose 3 games, ( with them also need to win all three of their games). That’s us losing 1 out of every 7.3 games. This stat keeps us honest. But.

                                If we beat Watford then Leicester draw or lose to City we would be 11 points ahead of both (or 13 ahead of City and 9 from Leicester if they draw) with them having 20 games and us 21 to play.

                                This scenario requires them going on massive winning sprees and out form flatlining (or losing a game every 4).

                                So of course it’s not over (not even close) but we are in a ****ing amazing position, and if we are still 10 points clear in early Jan then.... we’ll, you know
                                I think that would be 10 points as they’d drop 2 points with a draw & are currently 8 points behind us.
                                Me, I’m either planning a holiday or I’m on one.

                                Comment

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