Agreed the root cause of fatigue issues is overplaying as a result of the schedule. Slot hasn’t trusted the squad though to rotate and has only just started this fatigue forecasting model as the reason for substituting players.
It is a model and although there will be some clever algorithms behind it, it’s not going to be right 100% of the time. Players are individuals and there isn’t the dataset size available for an individual unless that individual is a perma-crock like Naby!
The only real way to test the model is to play someone until they do have a fatigue injury multiple times to calibrate the model to the individual.
The model must be pretty coarse as it didn’t predict problems at the start of last season when Frimpong had a recurrence of his hamstring injury.
Well that’s just how my simple mind sees it anyway.
It is a model and although there will be some clever algorithms behind it, it’s not going to be right 100% of the time. Players are individuals and there isn’t the dataset size available for an individual unless that individual is a perma-crock like Naby!
The only real way to test the model is to play someone until they do have a fatigue injury multiple times to calibrate the model to the individual.
The model must be pretty coarse as it didn’t predict problems at the start of last season when Frimpong had a recurrence of his hamstring injury.
Well that’s just how my simple mind sees it anyway.


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